There's a moment in every founder's journey that feels like winning. You get the term sheet. Your company is "worth" $40 million. You text your co-founder. You tell your parents. For a brief window, the number on that piece of paper feels real.
It's not. That $40 million is the price one investor paid for a small slice of your company, under terms that heavily protect them and barely protect you. It's not what your company would sell for. It's not what you'd walk away with. And nobody in your orbit has any incentive to explain the difference.
So let's do that.
A company with $3 million in ARR might raise at a $60 million valuation. Sounds like a 20x multiple. In reality, an investor paid $10 million for about 17% of the company, with a stack of structural protections attached. If that same company went to market tomorrow for an all-cash acquisition, it would trade somewhere between $3 million and $6 million. The gap between $60 million and $5 million is the distance between a negotiated markup and an actual market. That gap causes real confusion, real misaligned expectations, and real harm to the people who built the business.
After five or six years of building, you might start thinking about what comes next. When you raise it with your board, you'll hear some version of: it's too early, there's more to unlock, give it another year.
That advice is not necessarily wrong. But it's worth knowing where it comes from.
Venture funds are measured on DPI, distributions to paid-in capital. How much actual cash has gone back to the people who invested in the fund. Not markups. Not paper gains. Cash. A lot of funds right now, especially those that deployed in 2020-2022, have very low DPI. Tons of paper value, almost no cash returned.
If your company sells for $5 million and the fund owns 20%, that's $1 million back on a $100 million fund. It doesn't move the needle. Worse, it forces the fund to write down the investment from whatever they were carrying it at to the real number. Their reported performance actually gets worse when a realistic exit happens.
So the rational move for the fund is to keep you alive on the books. A living company can still be marked at the last round price. A sold company is a realized outcome, and realistic realized outcomes don't look good in LP reports.
This doesn't make your investors bad people. It makes them rational actors in a system that rewards them for avoiding the truth. But it means their advice about whether you should sell is coming from someone whose incentives are directly opposed to yours.
This is the part most founders haven't internalized.
Your investors didn't buy common stock. They bought preferred stock with liquidation preferences, which means in any exit, they get their money back before you see a dollar.
Let's say you raised $15 million total. The last round was $5 million with a 2x liquidation preference (common in later rounds when growth has slowed). The rest carries standard 1x preferences.
A buyer offers $20 million. Here's the math: the 2x investor takes $10 million off the top. The 1x investors take their $10 million. That's $20 million gone. You, the founder who spent seven years building this thing, get nothing.
Adjust it to $25 million. After $20 million clears the preference stack, $5 million remains. Your 25% share is $1.25 million before taxes. For seven years of your life.
This is not an edge case. This is the math that governs most venture-backed exits. And nobody walks you through it when you're signing that term sheet.
There are real options, even if nobody on your board is presenting them.
You can sell to an operator-buyer at a realistic price. There's a growing market of buyers, us included, who acquire SaaS companies, all cash, no financing contingencies. A $8 million exit on a $4 million ARR business is not a failure. It's a real outcome for a real business.
You can explore secondary sales of your shares for partial liquidity. You can negotiate a recapitalization that restructures the preference stack. And you can simply have the honest conversation with your board. The best board members would rather talk about a realistic exit than watch you grind for three more years toward an outcome that statistically will not come.
The venture ecosystem has a way of making founders feel like selling below their last valuation is giving up. It's not. For your investors, a small exit is a write-down. For you, it might be the difference between walking away with nothing after a decade and walking away with enough to take a breath and figure out what's next.
You built something real. That has value, even if it doesn't match the number on your last term sheet.